AmandaRamirez8661
0x0f5c404d605f10b5105d376ee545ce0c935f91bf
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $389.3k
- Markets traded
- 367
- Open portfolio
- $950.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded367
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka | 0.799 | 0.849 | $660.98 | +$38.56 |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 1.000 | $128.00 | +$49.92 |
| Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.942 | $91.37 | +$4.07 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No | 0.770 | 0.915 | $58.56 | +$9.28 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.808 | 0.361 | $4.69 | −$5.81 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.090 | $3.06 | −$14.96 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.145 | $2.90 | −$5.10 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.901 | 0.028 | $0.70 | −$21.81 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.055 | $0.11 | −$0.95 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.310Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?
- +$738.55at 0.166Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
- +$603.64at 0.290Will Trump say "South America" or "Latin America" during the State of the Union address?
- +$548.08at 0.480Will Trump name "Massie" in April?
- +$443.44at 0.201San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:31 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? | BUY | 0.9 | $87.30 |
| 04-27 10:09 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 04-24 03:34 | Will Trump name "Massie" in April? | BUY | 0.48 | $505.92 |
| 04-21 08:47 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.07 | $32.48 |
| 04-21 08:46 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 04-21 04:13 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.06 | $8.40 |
| 04-21 04:13 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.93 | $130.20 |
| 04-12 16:15 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.10 |
| 04-12 16:15 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.84 | $11.76 |
| 04-12 01:12 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.65 |
| 04-12 01:11 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.84 | $9.24 |
| 04-12 01:03 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | SELL | 0.87 | $361.92 |
| 04-11 17:51 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.16 | $79.36 |
| 04-11 17:50 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.16 | $16.80 |
| 04-11 02:05 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | BUY | 0.84 | $349.44 |