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Traders

JPLP

0x0e3226217752d7247c67b870b72b99ba3e20535b

Realised P&L
$39.2k
Volume
$3.70M
Markets traded
1,582
Open portfolio
$50.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,582
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9650.987$16.7k+$369.18
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5760.705$2.5k+$451.51
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? · No0.7650.770$2.3k+$15.47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5940.735$2.2k+$422.01
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · No0.7940.900$1.5k+$173.58
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague? · Yes0.7040.976$1.3k+$350.35
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8560.955$1.1k+$119.01
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8770.865$908.25−$12.25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8920.945$850.50+$47.50
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5880.565$832.83−$33.97
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6880.745$745.00+$56.50
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · No0.7960.920$725.35+$97.35
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8780.977$721.65+$72.74
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9600.985$662.48+$17.06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6820.825$660.06+$114.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 17:23Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.28$280.00
10-29 13:59Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?BUY0.59$295.00
10-29 13:50Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.57$570.00
10-28 18:46Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$254.25
10-28 18:45Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$1.2k
10-28 15:27Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1096401333$16.45
10-28 15:16Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1002$30.06
10-28 04:36Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.95$47.50
10-27 17:26Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.964$964.00
10-27 04:56Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.26$26.00
10-26 19:29Blue tsunami in 2026?BUY0.57$57.00
10-26 19:26Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.31$43.83
10-26 15:52Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.31$1.04
10-25 23:37Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.944$188.80
10-25 23:23Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.901$263.45
Trader JPLP · PolyBot Pro