JPLP
0x0e3226217752d7247c67b870b72b99ba3e20535b
- Realised P&L
- $39.2k
- Volume
- $3.70M
- Markets traded
- 1,582
- Open portfolio
- $50.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,582
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.799Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$6.3kat 0.714Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$5.1kat 0.929Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$4.4kat 0.503Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$4.3kat 0.683Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 17:23 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $280.00 |
| 10-29 13:59 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.59 | $295.00 |
| 10-29 13:50 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.57 | $570.00 |
| 10-28 18:46 | Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $254.25 |
| 10-28 18:45 | Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.2k |
| 10-28 15:27 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1096401333 | $16.45 |
| 10-28 15:16 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1002 | $30.06 |
| 10-28 04:36 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 10-27 17:26 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $964.00 |
| 10-27 04:56 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 10-26 19:29 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 10-26 19:26 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $43.83 |
| 10-26 15:52 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.04 |
| 10-25 23:37 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.944 | $188.80 |
| 10-25 23:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.901 | $263.45 |