PolyBot

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Traders

SonataElPatrona

0x0deab8eb148fbc0a05e8915456068c7cd44df9cd

Realised P&L
$-74.21
Volume
$23.4k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$131.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.710$27.82+$3.92
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · No0.4700.465$23.23$0.27
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.355$10.65+$7.65
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8400.855$7.62+$0.13
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5410.485$6.27$0.73
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No0.5600.655$5.85+$0.85
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.930$3.92+$0.42
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.215$3.79+$0.79
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · Yes0.1100.039$3.55$6.45
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.205$3.45$0.25
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · Yes0.3650.234$3.21$1.79
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3050.185$3.03$1.97
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0840.043$2.53$2.47
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0540.026$2.43$2.57
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.6600.585$2.43$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 10:16Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?SELL0.003$0.22
09-11 04:54Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.0156862745$1.00
09-11 04:54Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?SELL0.0098807955$4.35
09-10 13:55Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.2$3.00
09-08 05:32Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.02$4.00
09-07 05:09Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.028$7.00
09-03 07:15Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.61$6.10
09-03 07:14Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4$2.30
09-03 07:10Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?SELL0.69$2.72
09-02 12:06Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?BUY0.5599999776$5.00
09-02 12:04Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.73$3.58
09-02 12:03Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6099999825$30.00
09-02 12:02Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?SELL0.12$2.40
09-02 12:02Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.4499999857$11.00
09-02 12:01Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.15$4.35