sdhuis
0x0dab6cdff6d3a24acca3f204a44b3d0aae53f169
- Realised P&L
- $-28.03
- Volume
- $56.6k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $33.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.19at 0.563Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.47at 0.671Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.10at 0.780Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.07at 0.487Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$0.91at 0.688Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 14:30 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.00 |
| 09-29 14:29 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8829998684 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:28 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 14:28 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8479994844 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 10:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9089999677 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 10:45 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 10:45 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 10:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 10:44 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 10:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6439997836 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 10:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |