TheClaudeBurglar
0x0cbb4364d1b617a7e52fa14abae056205bf1b9d1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $146.1k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $121.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.28at 0.260Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$35.85at 0.765Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?
- +$34.00at 0.760Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$27.82at 0.640Warriors vs. Grizzlies
- +$25.14at 0.660Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 20:40 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.3725703422 | $19.60 |
| 10-06 20:39 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.519 | $101.60 |
| 10-02 18:28 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $48.00 |
| 08-10 20:19 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.78 |
| 08-10 20:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.09 |
| 07-21 18:34 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.401 | $1.55 |
| 07-20 17:26 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.041 | $2.51 |
| 06-06 21:57 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.82733775 | $165.47 |
| 06-03 18:56 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 06-03 18:56 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.311 | $62.19 |
| 06-03 18:55 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.688 | $137.60 |
| 06-03 18:55 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.7429875 | $148.60 |
| 06-03 18:55 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $160.00 |
| 06-01 04:31 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68765 | $137.53 |
| 05-31 15:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.00 |