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Traders

TheClaudeBurglar

0x0cbb4364d1b617a7e52fa14abae056205bf1b9d1

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$146.1k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$121.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.115$46.00−$70.00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes0.2300.145$22.55−$13.22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.2730.097$18.24−$33.27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3100.159$16.02−$15.21
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? · Yes0.3800.350$8.40−$0.72
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1400.245$6.79+$2.91
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · No0.1230.105$3.79−$0.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$70.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · No0.2310.000$0.00−$53.20
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$32.00
Pacers vs. Wizards · Pacers0.7700.000$0.00−$7.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 20:40Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?SELL0.3725703422$19.60
10-06 20:39Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.519$101.60
10-02 18:28Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.24$48.00
08-10 20:19Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?SELL0.28$0.78
08-10 20:18Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?SELL0.34$2.09
07-21 18:34Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.401$1.55
07-20 17:26Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.041$2.51
06-06 21:57Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.82733775$165.47
06-03 18:56Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.19$38.00
06-03 18:56Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.311$62.19
06-03 18:55Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.688$137.60
06-03 18:55OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.7429875$148.60
06-03 18:55Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.8$160.00
06-01 04:31Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.68765$137.53
05-31 15:41Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$30.00