PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ag129

0x0ca6921c8e34b17f2d4de798e0b1ff81a74c2408

Realised P&L
$15.16
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$354.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.735$183.75+$33.75
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4100.275$67.07$32.93
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? · Yes0.1000.070$35.00$15.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5000.525$31.50+$1.50
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2450.275$22.44+$2.44
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0700.050$14.30$5.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 12:05Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2450980392$20.00
09-21 12:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$30.00
09-21 12:02Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?BUY0.1$50.00
08-15 20:59UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.75$32.00
08-15 20:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.25$20.00
08-10 14:202026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.4099999976$100.00
08-10 14:19Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6$150.00
07-20 11:49Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0699475712$20.00
07-20 11:45Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0599999972$20.00
07-19 05:05Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0719999969$20.00
07-16 05:19Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699999985$95.79
07-16 05:18Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.2699999983$100.00
07-13 12:59Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3274999972$50.00
07-12 08:44Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4299999981$60.00
07-10 21:28UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.3099999968$50.00
Trader ag129 · PolyBot Pro