PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0C8fF5A768767FF83f59BF13c73939a89D391cB8-1764629850090

0x0c8ff5a768767ff83f59bf13c73939a89d391cb8

Realised P&L
$-309.11
Volume
$44.3k
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$442.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-25 23:06Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?SELL0.995$52.09
04-15 19:16Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.6278434039$50.00
04-15 19:11Claude 4.7 released by June 30?SELL0.986$176.06
04-05 19:34US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.15$30.00
04-05 18:31Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$30.00
04-05 18:31Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
04-05 18:30Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?BUY0.7119999563$3.00
04-05 18:29Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
04-05 18:29Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?SELL0.989$2.82
04-05 18:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.8699999913$3.00
04-05 18:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.8699999913$2.00
04-05 18:27Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
04-05 18:27Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
04-05 18:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
04-05 18:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?BUY0.08$5.00