0x0C8fF5A768767FF83f59BF13c73939a89D391cB8-1764629850090
0x0c8ff5a768767ff83f59bf13c73939a89d391cb8
- Realised P&L
- $-309.11
- Volume
- $44.3k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $442.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$255.57at 0.111Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$123.70at 0.112Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
- +$92.87at 0.663Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
- +$69.89at 0.699Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
- +$63.95at 0.157Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25 23:06 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $52.09 |
| 04-15 19:16 | Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.6278434039 | $50.00 |
| 04-15 19:11 | Claude 4.7 released by June 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $176.06 |
| 04-05 19:34 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 04-05 18:31 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 04-05 18:31 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 04-05 18:30 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | BUY | 0.7119999563 | $3.00 |
| 04-05 18:29 | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 04-05 18:29 | Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $2.82 |
| 04-05 18:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $3.00 |
| 04-05 18:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 04-05 18:27 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 18:27 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 04-05 18:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 04-05 18:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |