PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0C8fF5A768767FF83f59BF13c73939a89D391cB8-1764629850090

0x0c8ff5a768767ff83f59bf13c73939a89d391cb8

Realised P&L
$-317.32
Volume
$44.3k
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$32.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.024$9.79$40.21
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.1880.085$5.26$6.36
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1650.186$4.53+$0.53
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1390.065$3.75$4.25
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? · Yes0.7120.814$3.43+$0.43
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1000.032$1.57$3.42
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8390.953$1.14+$0.14
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0410.007$0.92$4.08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.6000.165$0.82$2.17
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · Yes0.0750.052$0.60$0.27
OpenAI acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0970.029$0.45$1.06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4390.065$0.15$0.85
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0310.004$0.13$0.87
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1700.015$0.09$0.91
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0310.002$0.05$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-25 23:06Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?SELL0.995$52.09
04-15 19:16Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.6278434039$50.00
04-15 19:11Claude 4.7 released by June 30?SELL0.986$176.06
04-05 19:34US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.15$30.00
04-05 18:31Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$30.00
04-05 18:31Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
04-05 18:30Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?BUY0.7119999563$3.00
04-05 18:29Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
04-05 18:29Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?SELL0.989$2.82
04-05 18:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.8699999913$3.00
04-05 18:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.8699999913$2.00
04-05 18:27Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
04-05 18:27Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
04-05 18:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
04-05 18:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?BUY0.08$5.00