PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Mr.Dink

0x0ba11d21e37106b91a3b5511bfb00fc6a900cf36

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$212.4k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$20.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.9100.998$3.2k+$283.62
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5170.655$2.8k+$579.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8200.855$2.1k+$87.50
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.4640.845$1.4k+$609.58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2710.246$1.0k$101.98
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4820.445$958.09$80.76
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.415$866.01+$157.38
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9500.955$831.80+$4.35
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8750.820$820.00$55.40
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.725$725.00+$15.00
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.8280.979$678.98+$104.12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.3590.887$625.69+$372.53
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.2450.119$538.35$571.89
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8090.955$535.32+$81.62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8600.565$395.43$206.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 19:10Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.09$9.00
07-21 19:10Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.108$10.80
07-21 19:10Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.743$74.30
07-21 19:09Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.262$33.33
07-21 19:09Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.61$122.00
07-21 19:08Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.58$145.00
07-21 19:07Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?BUY0.75$375.00
07-21 19:07Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8754009$875.40
07-21 19:06Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?BUY0.95$827.45
07-21 19:05Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$710.00
07-21 19:05Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.84$7.60
07-21 19:00Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.082$9.85
07-21 19:00Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.17$102.00
07-21 19:00Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.23$138.00
07-21 19:00Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.32$192.00