0x0b1e1ab9362f9a954a399ea09bd4e9575fadcc21
0x0b1e1ab9362f9a954a399ea09bd4e9575fadcc21
- Realised P&L
- $-7.28
- Volume
- $128.90
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $5.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.945 | $2.17 | +$0.72 |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.525 | $2.10 | +$1.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.265 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.022 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.002 | $0.03 | −$4.97 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.08at 0.708Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.06at 0.710Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
- +$1.83at 0.462Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
- +$1.72at 0.748Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?
- +$1.00at 0.701Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:49 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 15:32 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 15:20 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 07:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 23:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:19 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:12 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.04 |
| 09-07 08:35 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999253 | $2.31 |
| 08-22 02:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7699999585 | $2.41 |
| 08-18 16:02 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999218 | $1.45 |
| 08-10 02:30 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999915 | $2.52 |
| 08-01 17:43 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |