-metabaron-
0x0ab606c8c8d7068f06cfc580d8499a1b381f8eef
- Realised P&L
- $448.66
- Volume
- $3.82M
- Markets traded
- 1,008
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,008
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$561.19at 0.022Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
- +$472.27at 0.090Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$344.43at 0.228Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$243.52at 0.189Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
- +$239.29at 0.091Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.57 | $12.95 |
| 09-17 01:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-17 01:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-16 23:53 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 09-16 23:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.73 | $11.50 |
| 09-16 23:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.73 | $39.52 |
| 09-16 14:22 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.086495 | $8.65 |
| 09-16 14:22 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 02:04 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1693773781 | $4.90 |
| 09-14 15:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $59.88 |
| 09-14 15:17 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.996 | $59.76 |
| 09-14 13:11 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.024596 | $4.92 |
| 09-14 03:06 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.62 |
| 09-14 00:56 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.18 |
| 09-13 21:28 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |