0x0ab4ad364e147f189384231d297dff6ba7947d63
- Realised P&L
- $-7.53
- Volume
- $400.53
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $18.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.78at 0.740Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$1.60at 0.517Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$1.48at 0.440Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$1.33at 0.677Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.22at 0.497Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.8699999819 | $2.88 |
| 09-15 06:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.74 |
| 09-11 08:45 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.19 |
| 09-08 09:49 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.24 |
| 09-03 22:23 | Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8099996796 | $1.82 |
| 09-03 16:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.8399999606 | $2.56 |
| 09-03 16:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.02 |
| 09-02 20:14 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $3.09 |
| 09-01 10:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.9839996456 | $2.71 |
| 08-29 21:47 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.8399999856 | $2.33 |
| 08-26 11:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399997174 | $3.06 |
| 08-24 21:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $2.16 |
| 08-23 21:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.679999988 | $2.26 |
| 08-21 21:10 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8799999889 | $3.16 |
| 08-14 22:42 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999045 | $2.11 |