PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GSV369

0x0aab86318b0ddf367a29f4e90a570687a395931d

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$163.7k
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$145.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3390.134$51.86−$79.44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.1000.038$41.32−$65.53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.2230.088$37.35−$56.65
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.1210.042$6.86−$13.14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3800.175$4.61−$5.39
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.035$3.04−$11.96
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.125$0.50−$0.50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1040.024$0.23−$0.77
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1050.018$0.17−$0.83
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2? · No0.0840.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8? · No0.0480.000$0.00−$30.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3? · No0.0920.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? · No0.4480.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of March? · No0.1460.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 07:43Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 22?BUY0.0489607393$10.00
07-17 07:42Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 22?BUY0.0299999971$10.00
07-17 07:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 21?BUY0.25$10.00
07-17 07:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?BUY0.0910945946$6.74
07-17 07:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 21?BUY0.03025$1.21
07-17 07:40Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 21?BUY0.0214412197$10.00
07-17 07:40Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?BUY0.2358490566$10.00
07-17 07:40Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?BUY0.1167793395$10.00
07-17 07:39Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 22?BUY0.032$10.00
07-17 07:39Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 22?BUY0.0490011311$10.00
07-17 07:38Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 22?BUY0.032$16.00
07-17 07:37Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 22?BUY0.0834398185$10.00
07-17 07:36Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 23?BUY0.2314814815$10.00
07-17 07:36Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 23?BUY0.1203703599$10.00
07-17 07:36Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 23?BUY0.0580110444$10.00