PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd0431e449e50933168ce562dfc1e1583fa37fb97-1787688740748

0x0a4d4b124e47b01b1add16baa34f012f7c9279f5

Realised P&L
$-109.98
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$126.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 19:06US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.99$105.27
09-22 18:09US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.739999997$30.00
09-22 18:06US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7599999964$50.00
09-22 17:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2711033874$24.57
09-22 14:49US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6799999932$20.00
09-22 14:46US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.653371541$40.00
09-22 11:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
09-22 10:43Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.24$3.00
09-22 10:03Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?SELL0.501$13.18
09-22 10:03Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.1547475$6.19
09-22 08:50NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999966$20.00
09-21 19:05Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.829999998$50.00
09-21 17:40US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.5552635964$40.00
09-21 15:47China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0539999986$2.00
09-21 15:45Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.4399999819$4.86