0xd0431e449e50933168ce562dfc1e1583fa37fb97-1787688740748
0x0a4d4b124e47b01b1add16baa34f012f7c9279f5
- Realised P&L
- $-109.98
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $126.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.00at 0.570Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$35.04at 0.706Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
- +$25.27at 0.752US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$25.14at 0.724Will Iran target Iraq by August 31, 2026?
- +$20.48at 0.582US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:06 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $105.27 |
| 09-22 18:09 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 18:06 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999964 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 17:58 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2711033874 | $24.57 |
| 09-22 14:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 14:46 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.653371541 | $40.00 |
| 09-22 11:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 10:43 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 10:03 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.501 | $13.18 |
| 09-22 10:03 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.1547475 | $6.19 |
| 09-22 08:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 19:05 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 17:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5552635964 | $40.00 |
| 09-21 15:47 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0539999986 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 15:45 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999819 | $4.86 |