PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

imakebigbets

0x09e3835d39e097ec0011824fbf647ff032a748ac

Realised P&L
$15.4k
Volume
$1.57M
Markets traded
469
Open portfolio
$102.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded469
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8020.885$21.4k+$2.0k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8200.945$13.1k+$1.7k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8320.945$10.5k+$1.3k
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.6400.895$7.3k+$2.1k
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9510.981$6.0k+$179.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8330.955$5.4k+$688.52
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.5440.685$4.9k+$1.0k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6180.935$4.6k+$1.6k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9090.962$3.4k+$183.19
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · No0.7370.945$2.8k+$621.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6420.925$2.7k+$835.94
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · No0.8970.963$2.7k+$182.87
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8850.956$2.5k+$183.30
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1720.545$2.1k+$1.4k
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8160.960$1.8k+$266.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 20:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.18$36.00
08-30 21:05Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.33$6.60
08-20 07:23Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.24$240.00
07-10 20:16Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.52$52.00
07-06 21:06Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.897$4.49
06-29 18:33Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.37$111.00
06-26 21:22Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.61$122.00
06-26 21:21Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.61$305.00
06-26 21:16Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.58$580.00
06-26 05:19Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.013$26.00
06-26 05:04OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.6723021277$31.60
06-21 10:07Will France win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.55$340.68
06-20 10:11Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.58$580.00
06-19 09:01Spread: Spain (-2.5)BUY0.49$338.10
06-04 01:07Spread: Spurs (-4.5)SELL0.6414095793$1.1k