imakebigbets
0x09e3835d39e097ec0011824fbf647ff032a748ac
- Realised P&L
- $15.4k
- Volume
- $1.57M
- Markets traded
- 469
- Open portfolio
- $102.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded469
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.8kat 0.319Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$4.6kat 0.430Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$3.9kat 0.641Plasma >$6B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
- +$3.6kat 0.593Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$3.2kat 0.529Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 20:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 08-30 21:05 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-20 07:23 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $240.00 |
| 07-10 20:16 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 07-06 21:06 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.897 | $4.49 |
| 06-29 18:33 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.37 | $111.00 |
| 06-26 21:22 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 06-26 21:21 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.61 | $305.00 |
| 06-26 21:16 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.58 | $580.00 |
| 06-26 05:19 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.013 | $26.00 |
| 06-26 05:04 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.6723021277 | $31.60 |
| 06-21 10:07 | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.55 | $340.68 |
| 06-20 10:11 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.58 | $580.00 |
| 06-19 09:01 | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $338.10 |
| 06-04 01:07 | Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | SELL | 0.6414095793 | $1.1k |