trkbk2
0x09c0eaa5b4a13ae3b53d70c832e2506a4e64305a
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $304.9k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $27.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.632Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
- +$427.50at 0.500Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$305.53at 0.943Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
- +$181.50at 0.500Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$164.00at 0.915Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:30 | Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.68 |
| 08-02 02:29 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $271.08 |
| 08-02 02:27 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? | BUY | 0.85 | $256.54 |
| 08-02 02:26 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $259.44 |
| 08-02 02:24 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.90 |
| 08-02 02:22 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.77 | $155.42 |
| 08-01 23:32 | Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? | BUY | 0.9098985163 | $448.30 |
| 08-01 23:30 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $489.50 |
| 08-01 23:28 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $474.79 |
| 08-01 23:24 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $461.47 |
| 08-01 23:19 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 08-01 23:18 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.961 | $288.74 |
| 08-01 23:17 | Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $304.61 |
| 08-01 23:15 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.45 |
| 07-18 11:48 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.276 | $121.72 |