PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

trkbk2

0x09c0eaa5b4a13ae3b53d70c832e2506a4e64305a

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$304.9k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$27.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9340.935$3.4k+$4.35
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.979$3.1k+$52.73
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4360.460$2.7k+$140.40
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.977$2.1k+$61.24
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.964$1.9k+$26.82
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9540.974$1.7k+$35.68
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3260.278$1.7k$290.44
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9720.978$1.6k+$10.55
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9590.977$1.5k+$27.85
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.962$769.60+$17.60
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9640.975$755.61+$8.14
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8840.914$577.95+$18.78
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9190.925$514.86+$3.33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? · No0.9790.974$486.75$2.75
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9500.958$478.75+$3.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:30Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.94$282.68
08-02 02:29Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.9$271.08
08-02 02:27Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?BUY0.85$256.54
08-02 02:26Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.86$259.44
08-02 02:24Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9$18.90
08-02 02:22Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.77$155.42
08-01 23:32Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?BUY0.9098985163$448.30
08-01 23:30Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?BUY0.979$489.50
08-01 23:28Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.946$474.79
08-01 23:24Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.92$461.47
08-01 23:19Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.94$282.00
08-01 23:18Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.961$288.74
08-01 23:17Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?BUY0.95$304.61
08-01 23:15Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?BUY0.94$188.45
07-18 11:48Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.276$121.72