PolyBot

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Traders

trkbk2

0x09c0eaa5b4a13ae3b53d70c832e2506a4e64305a

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$339.8k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$22.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4350.512$3.9k+$593.63
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9340.935$2.5k+$3.16
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9510.960$2.0k+$17.01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9540.961$1.7k+$11.61
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3060.153$1.2k$1.2k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No0.9860.997$965.57+$10.50
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9600.980$882.33+$17.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · No0.9720.996$796.39+$18.80
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8940.940$732.84+$35.68
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8400.920$679.52+$59.09
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.9690.979$597.96+$6.07
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9190.925$514.86+$3.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.955$477.50+$17.50
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.971$476.19+$10.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.945$472.50+$7.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 19:35Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.43$216.05
09-01 23:56Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.94$188.45
09-01 23:42Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.955$958.01
08-29 15:17Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.956$766.15
08-29 14:06Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.73$220.78
08-29 14:05Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.231$118.23
08-18 12:01US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?BUY0.996$597.60
08-18 11:59US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?BUY0.978$32.41
08-18 11:54Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.969$291.41
08-17 20:02Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.978$455.78
08-17 19:59Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.978$270.11
08-17 19:59Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.983$113.99
08-11 23:21Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?BUY0.94$376.90
08-11 23:20Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.84$620.43
08-10 01:28Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?BUY0.987$493.50