trkbk2
0x09c0eaa5b4a13ae3b53d70c832e2506a4e64305a
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $339.8k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $22.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.631Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
- +$417.37at 0.500Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$323.29at 0.868SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
- +$305.15at 0.943Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
- +$277.81at 0.964Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 19:35 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.43 | $216.05 |
| 09-01 23:56 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.45 |
| 09-01 23:42 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $958.01 |
| 08-29 15:17 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.956 | $766.15 |
| 08-29 14:06 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.73 | $220.78 |
| 08-29 14:05 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.231 | $118.23 |
| 08-18 12:01 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $597.60 |
| 08-18 11:59 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.978 | $32.41 |
| 08-18 11:54 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.969 | $291.41 |
| 08-17 20:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $455.78 |
| 08-17 19:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $270.11 |
| 08-17 19:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $113.99 |
| 08-11 23:21 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $376.90 |
| 08-11 23:20 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $620.43 |
| 08-10 01:28 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $493.50 |