PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

GolD.RogerJR

0x09a8304822341d1f557127a9b48a0a1a12a1aff0

Realised P&L
$-428.74
Volume
$45.9k
Markets traded
335
Open portfolio
$51.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded335
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1400.475$19.47+$13.73
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? · Yes0.8900.855$8.55$0.35
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? · Yes0.6600.690$6.90+$0.30
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2000.155$5.42$1.57
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? · Yes0.3200.330$3.30+$0.10
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? · Yes0.2700.300$3.00+$0.30
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0410.042$2.94+$0.07
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0180.010$0.70$0.56
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0290.009$0.59$1.43
Will Alexis Hill win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.36
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$3.69
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No0.1600.000$0.00$32.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29? · No0.7000.000$0.00$18.20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 29? · No0.7000.000$0.00$19.60
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 25? · No0.7100.000$0.00$24.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 14:47Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?SELL0.8$8.00
05-04 14:47Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?SELL0.67$6.70
05-04 14:47Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?SELL0.48016$9.60
05-04 14:47Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?SELL0.65$22.75
05-04 14:47Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?SELL0.38$26.60
05-04 14:47Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.77$31.57
05-04 14:45Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 4?SELL0.11$3.85
05-04 14:45Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?SELL0.63$22.05
04-27 07:24Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 28?BUY0.6971929825$77.07
04-26 17:57Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?BUY0.08$47.24
04-23 11:05Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?SELL0.26$18.20
04-23 09:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on April 24?BUY0.6729777778$23.43
04-22 23:14Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 23?BUY0.5937526316$32.47
04-22 23:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 23?BUY0.6595697074$14.81
04-20 05:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 22?BUY0.6807058824$22.41
Trader GolD.RogerJR · PolyBot