PolyBot

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Traders

GolD.RogerJR

0x09a8304822341d1f557127a9b48a0a1a12a1aff0

Realised P&L
$-443.58
Volume
$45.9k
Markets traded
335
Open portfolio
$36.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded335
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? · Yes0.8900.870$8.70$0.20
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? · Yes0.6600.665$6.65+$0.05
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1400.155$6.36+$0.61
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0410.070$4.90+$2.03
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? · Yes0.2700.325$3.25+$0.55
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2000.085$2.98$4.03
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? · Yes0.3200.255$2.55$0.65
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0290.007$0.49$1.54
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0180.004$0.24$1.01
Will Alexis Hill win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.36
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$3.69
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No0.1600.000$0.00$32.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29? · No0.7310.000$0.00$19.01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 29? · No0.7310.000$0.00$20.48
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 25? · No0.7400.000$0.00$25.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 14:47Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?SELL0.8$8.00
05-04 14:47Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?SELL0.67$6.70
05-04 14:47Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?SELL0.48016$9.60
05-04 14:47Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?SELL0.65$22.75
05-04 14:47Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?SELL0.38$26.60
05-04 14:47Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.77$31.57
05-04 14:45Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 4?SELL0.11$3.85
05-04 14:45Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?SELL0.63$22.05
04-27 07:24Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 28?BUY0.6971929825$77.07
04-26 17:57Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?BUY0.08$47.24
04-23 11:05Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?SELL0.26$18.20
04-23 09:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on April 24?BUY0.6729777778$23.43
04-22 23:14Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 23?BUY0.5937526316$32.47
04-22 23:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 23?BUY0.6595697074$14.81
04-20 05:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 22?BUY0.6807058824$22.41