PolyBot

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Traders

MarvelFan94

0x09789b8b51146babd57e3e33b9376f3496f800e6

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$807.5k
Markets traded
529
Open portfolio
$7.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded529
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7200.412$5.1k−$3.8k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5510.115$1.4k−$5.2k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7730.715$143.00−$11.63
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.7000.650$130.00−$10.00
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0680.012$56.77−$263.70
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.7240.250$50.00−$94.87
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.3810.185$37.00−$39.24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.017$29.64−$57.54
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? · No0.9700.943$28.29−$0.81
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2250.045$11.31−$45.33
Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$3.33
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$3.33
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$3.33
Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$3.33
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$3.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 16:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.378$75.60
10-15 16:31Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.037$98.84
10-05 13:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?BUY0.7$140.00
10-05 13:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.12$24.00
10-02 19:07Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.9534638959$86.49
10-02 19:07Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.873$218.25
10-02 19:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.84$839.99
09-30 15:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8$240.00
09-30 15:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8$160.00
09-29 18:52Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.026$2.60
09-29 15:17Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.34$3.40
09-29 14:34Trump renames AI by December 31?BUY0.61$12.20
09-29 12:49Trump renames AI by December 31?BUY0.55$55.00
09-29 12:12Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.63$6.29
09-29 06:20Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.47$4.70