PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MarvelFan94

0x09789b8b51146babd57e3e33b9376f3496f800e6

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$522.4k
Markets traded
482
Open portfolio
$12.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded482
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9200.925$4.6k+$25.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5670.565$4.2k$13.23
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9550.956$1.4k+$1.37
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8970.915$914.99+$17.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7800.805$393.72+$12.23
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.9500.953$242.89+$0.64
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9890.989$154.92+$0.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1250.125$125.00+$0.00
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.7660.450$78.75$55.25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.3810.220$44.00$32.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0290.025$36.75$7.16
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2250.115$28.89$27.74
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0130.045$11.38+$8.04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.7200.780$10.41+$0.80
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0130.034$8.38+$5.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:15Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.989$98.90
08-02 15:15Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.982$80.03
08-02 12:42US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?SELL0.934163829$148.14
08-02 10:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.5720983688$23.15
08-02 08:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.13$130.00
08-02 08:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.03$150.00
08-02 06:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.89$356.00
08-02 06:16US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.93$147.48
08-02 05:40Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.92$4.6k
08-02 05:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.56$2.8k
08-02 05:08US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5997101098$543.67
08-02 03:55US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.95$242.25
07-31 08:52Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
07-31 08:18Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.91$818.98
07-31 07:28Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.88$528.00