0x0882100dc6966849E2028bcF8a4d744760FF15b9-1771135508726
0x0882100dc6966849e2028bcf8a4d744760ff15b9
- Realised P&L
- $27.10
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.46at 0.724Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
- +$12.95at 0.880Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$6.87at 0.793Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$6.04at 0.952Will Alberta join the US?
- +$5.45at 0.891Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 04:15 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-14 04:13 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 10-13 00:12 | Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.443 | $2.21 |
| 10-13 00:08 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-13 00:05 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 10-12 22:48 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.988 | $98.80 |
| 10-12 01:45 | Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 10-10 19:25 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.809 | $8.99 |
| 10-10 19:21 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-09 15:39 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 15:38 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | SELL | 0.97 | $15.15 |
| 10-09 15:37 | Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 10-08 05:04 | Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-08 03:27 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9522312904 | $30.92 |
| 10-08 03:23 | Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.98 |