PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

thunderquack

0x07fd560b73806637ba2474d651f66cdfc796ad26

Realised P&L
$459.36
Volume
$27.5k
Markets traded
663
Open portfolio
$616.84

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded663
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 17:32Trump meets with Putin by November 30?BUY0.24$3.00
10-01 17:31Trump meets with Putin by November 30?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-01 17:30Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.2899999884$2.00
10-01 17:29EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?BUY0.0990960223$5.00
10-01 17:28EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?BUY0.2099999957$3.91
10-01 17:26EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?BUY0.7699999992$10.00
10-01 17:25Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999633$1.94
10-01 17:24Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.4299999807$2.00
10-01 17:23Will Russia target Kyiv on October 2, 2026?BUY0.9699999951$2.00
10-01 09:32Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$2.00
10-01 09:32Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
10-01 09:31Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?BUY0.84$3.00
10-01 09:31Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?BUY0.7499999625$10.00
10-01 09:29Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9529999485$10.00
10-01 09:27Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999858$5.00