PolyBot

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0x07D7BEEC90D5A4F89ec735aF19c9B02BD76497eD-1778320649827

0x07d7beec90d5a4f89ec735af19c9b02bd76497ed

Realised P&L
$14.79
Volume
$305.35
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$191.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · No0.7990.940$67.68+$10.12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · No0.7850.835$31.73+$1.88
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8980.865$18.16$0.69
EU dissolves before 2027? · No0.9640.978$15.65+$0.23
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.8390.931$13.96+$1.38
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.7820.800$12.80+$0.28
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.5630.540$12.06$0.52
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.8900.875$8.75$0.15
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? · No0.5170.830$5.84+$2.20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9320.964$4.82+$0.16
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.069$0.34$0.11
Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.0040.003$0.15$0.09

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 12:38Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy?SELL0.015$0.13
05-18 21:39Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$0.45