0x07D7BEEC90D5A4F89ec735aF19c9B02BD76497eD-1778320649827
0x07d7beec90d5a4f89ec735af19c9b02bd76497ed
- Realised P&L
- $-0.05
- Volume
- $310.35
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $195.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · No | 0.799 | 0.957 | $68.90 | +$11.34 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No | 0.785 | 0.964 | $36.63 | +$6.78 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.898 | 0.865 | $18.16 | −$0.69 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? · No | 0.964 | 0.984 | $15.74 | +$0.32 |
| Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No | 0.839 | 0.953 | $14.29 | +$1.70 |
| Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No | 0.782 | 0.755 | $12.08 | −$0.44 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No | 0.563 | 0.495 | $11.05 | −$1.52 |
| Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No | 0.890 | 0.800 | $8.00 | −$0.90 |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? · No | 0.517 | 0.830 | $5.84 | +$2.20 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.932 | 0.981 | $4.90 | +$0.24 |
| Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $0.21 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.14at 0.093Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 11:26 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.067 | $0.34 |
| 05-21 12:38 | Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.13 |
| 05-18 21:39 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |