PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

fubar9

0x07622d00bfb458632b81696afe13afe969ab8e99

Realised P&L
$35.92
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
172
Open portfolio
$198.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded172
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8800.915$22.88+$0.88
Will Trump nationalize elections? · No0.6690.870$19.51+$4.51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? · No0.8100.860$17.20+$1.00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.670$11.73+$0.70
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.6560.736$11.04+$1.20
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7400.515$10.16$4.44
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.6700.655$9.78$0.22
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.4850.685$9.16+$2.67
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7800.887$8.88+$1.07
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7800.845$8.45+$0.65
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.5710.560$7.68$0.15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7350.999$6.84+$1.81
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No0.8170.668$6.59$1.47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.5300.645$6.45+$1.15
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6490.785$5.89+$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 10:45Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?SELL0.8145248869$14.40
08-02 08:23Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.91$0.55
08-02 08:23Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.91$0.44
08-02 08:09Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.91$0.81
08-02 08:08Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.91$0.86
08-01 15:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.76$2.63
08-01 11:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.83$1.90
08-01 11:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.83$1.90
08-01 07:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.33$3.20
08-01 06:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?SELL0.94$4.58
07-31 23:13Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.28$0.70
07-31 23:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.8$3.90
07-31 23:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7399999188$5.47
07-31 23:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7299999947$5.47
07-31 22:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.4199999547$2.04