fubar9
0x07622d00bfb458632b81696afe13afe969ab8e99
- Realised P&L
- $32.50
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 272
- Open portfolio
- $193.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded272
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.49at 0.364Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.10at 0.522Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$6.64at 0.206Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.55at 0.617Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$6.37at 0.176Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:58 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $6.98 |
| 09-18 03:44 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.33 |
| 09-17 19:34 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.30 |
| 09-17 19:11 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.102 | $0.08 |
| 09-17 12:30 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $8.03 |
| 09-15 17:30 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.801 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 03:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.04 |
| 09-14 23:58 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.06 |
| 09-14 19:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | SELL | 0.967 | $4.90 |
| 09-14 17:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.044 | $0.12 |
| 09-14 17:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.88 |
| 09-14 17:36 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 09-14 08:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.56 |
| 09-14 08:17 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:25 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999448 | $3.35 |