Happygamer
0x06af7d54ea6f1e3df688422534ef59654fa93741
- Realised P&L
- $643.28
- Volume
- $71.3k
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $846.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$609.12at 0.211Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
- +$249.70at 0.200Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
- +$208.76at 0.466Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?
- +$94.00at 0.207Will the next James Bond be British?
- +$90.50at 0.224Trump announces additional funding cuts to Harvard before June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 08:12 | Will GBP/USD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.19 |
| 09-06 17:15 | Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-25 21:14 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-18 15:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 08-07 13:54 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $16.56 |
| 08-07 13:54 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $49.49 |
| 07-08 16:35 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6597602877 | $16.51 |
| 07-02 17:15 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $61.62 |
| 07-02 17:08 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 06-30 13:10 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $25.20 |
| 06-29 12:06 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | SELL | 0.61 | $22.19 |
| 06-24 16:57 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.4081833061 | $14.96 |
| 06-24 15:58 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | BUY | 0.757834 | $75.78 |
| 06-18 15:11 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | SELL | 0.9722 | $97.22 |
| 06-03 22:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | BUY | 0.54 | $22.14 |