PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sportkingzer

0x063723db69f8009d36a39dc2342adbab7f331e31

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$2.98M
Markets traded
1,672
Open portfolio
$120.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,672
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1800.987$5.92+$4.84
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? · Yes0.9740.982$1.85+$0.01
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.8900.940$1.77+$0.09
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.972$1.74+$0.09
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8900.923$1.69+$0.06
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes0.0310.035$1.66+$0.21
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9970.999$1.63+$0.00
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.9920.999$1.63+$0.01
Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · No0.9890.981$1.62−$0.01
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31? · No0.9300.964$1.62+$0.06
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.9800.999$1.61+$0.03
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9920.996$1.61+$0.01
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026? · No0.8600.949$1.59+$0.15
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9981.000$1.58+$0.00
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No0.9970.981$1.57−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:54FC Nantes vs. Red Star FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.94$1.02
08-03 23:40Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $150 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.9889999919$1.10
08-03 22:58Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 5.5BUY0.9699999904$1.01
08-03 05:27Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaBUY0.9299999819$1.03
08-03 05:27Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.991$1.00
08-03 05:27Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.997$1.01
08-03 02:04Exact Score: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1 - 0 FK Mladost Lucani?BUY0.8599999539$1.12
08-03 02:04Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on August 31?BUY0.95$1.10
08-03 00:13Will BBL Esports Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?BUY0.8699999146$1.12
08-02 23:03Kyle Tucker: Home Runs O/U 1.5BUY0.99$1.04
08-02 23:03Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 4?SELL0.99$1.10
08-02 23:03Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.999$1.11
08-02 23:02Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 3?SELL0.995$1.02
08-02 23:02Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 3?BUY0.9979991532$1.03
08-02 23:02Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Fares Zakaria vs Daniil GlinkaSELL0.88$1.04