0x05697DDCFfc27c4a4109c9fB1A6E6CFbE3a96ce4-1773519004717
0x05697ddcffc27c4a4109c9fb1a6e6cfbe3a96ce4
- Realised P&L
- $-241.87
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $565.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.62at 0.357Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$30.08at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$18.09at 0.736Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$12.55at 0.617Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$8.50at 0.825Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:31 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 18:43 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 18:41 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 18:35 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.495049505 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 18:33 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 18:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6149999849 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 18:32 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 17:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $35.00 |
| 09-11 06:37 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8247501002 | $40.00 |
| 09-11 06:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 17:41 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 17:15 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $60.00 |
| 07-18 17:14 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 17:13 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0782585931 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 09:31 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9869999977 | $3.00 |