0x053ae7e9e226538cc6cb2a554ca648a721c0043c
- Realised P&L
- $-28.35
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $42.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.065 | $9.44 | +$2.62 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No | 0.948 | 0.961 | $6.68 | +$0.09 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.957 | $6.57 | −$0.02 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.080 | $5.85 | −$0.73 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.970 | $4.96 | −$0.00 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.155 | $4.62 | −$0.45 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.159 | $4.54 | −$0.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.03at 0.997Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
- +$-0.15at 0.951US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
- +$-8.89at 0.023Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 18:28 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | SELL | 0.111 | $1.32 |
| 07-12 18:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.96 |
| 07-12 18:28 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.47 |
| 07-12 18:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $2.18 |
| 07-12 18:28 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | SELL | 0.944 | $2.18 |
| 07-12 18:28 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.0491183133 | $2.04 |
| 07-12 18:28 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $1.65 |
| 07-09 18:52 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.62 |
| 07-09 18:52 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.047 | $8.78 |
| 07-09 18:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.77 |
| 07-09 18:52 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.62 |
| 07-09 18:52 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $8.78 |
| 07-09 18:52 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1844229249 | $7.47 |
| 07-09 18:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $8.78 |
| 06-23 19:42 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $0.44 |