PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

owla

0x05179bf71f2af850593e824595f285877ea9d513

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$71.3k
Markets traded
1,430
Open portfolio
$182.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,430
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? · Yes0.1701.000$77.58+$64.38
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0040.203$20.35+$19.95
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0060.112$11.20+$10.60
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0050.087$8.75+$8.25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.1500.085$8.50−$6.50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 11? · Yes0.3000.460$7.67+$2.67
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0410.076$7.65+$3.55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10? · Yes0.7721.000$6.47+$1.47
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0090.054$5.45+$4.55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0140.050$4.95+$3.55
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0120.038$3.85+$2.65
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.1400.036$3.65−$10.35
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0110.036$3.65+$2.55
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0100.025$2.55+$1.55
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0130.025$2.55+$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 13:21Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 11?BUY0.299999994$5.00
10-10 03:57Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.0885831644$5.00
10-10 03:42Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 10?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-10 03:42Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?SELL0.41$4.56
10-10 03:39Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?BUY0.7722772247$5.00
10-10 03:18Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.0646764875$5.00
10-10 01:41Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 10?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
10-10 01:32Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 11?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
10-10 01:29Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?BUY0.449999964$5.00
10-07 20:32Solana Up or Down - October 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.6521739096$25.00
10-07 20:32Solana Up or Down - October 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.6601941658$5.00
10-07 20:31Solana Up or Down - October 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.659999963$5.00
10-07 20:31Solana Up or Down - October 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.5799999768$5.00
10-07 20:31Solana Up or Down - October 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.5643563943$5.00
10-07 20:24Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.5299999924$25.00