qiaoqiaodi
0x03b4792ed953aff5db1c51737e7db64294dc8706
- Realised P&L
- $-65.81
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 511
- Open portfolio
- $6.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded511
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.23at 0.062Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?
- +$40.80at 0.019Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?
- +$13.06at 0.145Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$8.75at 0.125Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$7.87at 0.213Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 08-05 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.26 |
| 08-05 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.05 |
| 08-05 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6? | SELL | 0.075 | $1.88 |
| 08-04 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.56 |
| 08-04 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6? | SELL | 0.093 | $1.86 |
| 08-04 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0397904 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0385696 | $1.93 |
| 08-04 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |