qiaoqiaodi
0x03b4792ed953aff5db1c51737e7db64294dc8706
- Realised P&L
- $-59.21
- Volume
- $106.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,082
- Open portfolio
- $11.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,082
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$208.10at 0.051Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 13?
- +$99.86at 0.124Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?
- +$72.45at 0.276Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?
- +$50.09at 0.064Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?
- +$47.51at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-21 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.54 |
| 09-21 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 09-21 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 09-21 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-21 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-21 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0152165795 | $2.04 |
| 09-21 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.47 |
| 09-21 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.37 |
| 09-21 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-21 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.03 |
| 09-21 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.45 |
| 09-21 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.10 |
| 09-21 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.08 |