PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flamboyant

0x02db144e8407341d64a2f79ceb03fc1908107885

Realised P&L
$-56.81
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
347
Open portfolio
$26.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded347
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.2810.836$8.36+$5.55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1580.162$5.12+$0.12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5200.512$4.93$0.07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.160$2.28$2.72
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0900.185$2.23+$1.15
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes0.3400.095$1.40$3.60
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes0.3500.072$1.09$4.16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2000.029$0.71$4.29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3600.065$0.54$2.46
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00$2.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$12.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$2.00
Magic vs. Pistons · Magic0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$1.12
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 15:24Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.3299999924$10.00
09-13 15:23Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.32$15.00
09-10 18:48Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?BUY0.269999993$5.00
09-10 18:39Will FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?BUY0.069999999$2.00
09-10 18:39Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-10?BUY0.2099999895$3.00
09-10 18:38Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)BUY0.64$30.00
09-08 19:14Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.5899999951$39.67
06-25 00:43Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.5799999991$212.54
06-24 20:15Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.8399999996$181.10
06-24 19:31Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
06-24 05:38Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
06-24 03:43Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.0689999685$2.00
06-24 03:41Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?SELL0.93$199.77
06-24 01:45Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.64$73.62
06-24 01:05Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.64$63.86