0x01eebb367efb929e486919508e4df7fedd22c603
- Realised P&L
- $-41.58
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 253
- Open portfolio
- $39.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded253
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.18at 0.365US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$31.74at 0.184Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
- +$10.15at 0.994MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$10.03at 0.339Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$6.66at 0.135US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:14 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 00:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:38 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:50 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:41 | Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31? | BUY | 0.9409665763 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:40 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0959999194 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 00:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 00:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 00:34 | Will Eddie Speir be the FL-16 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 00:34 | Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 00:38 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 00:09 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 00:19 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 00:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |