PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x01eebb367efb929e486919508e4df7fedd22c603

Realised P&L
$-41.58
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
253
Open portfolio
$39.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded253
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7210.835$3.09+$0.42
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.130$3.00+$0.00
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.3600.965$2.68+$1.68
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2350.265$2.26+$0.26
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2700.300$2.23+$0.23
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.8700.884$2.03+$0.03
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9600.973$2.03+$0.03
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.6010.210$1.40$2.60
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.8301.000$1.20+$0.20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · No0.7800.930$1.19+$0.19
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6300.715$1.13+$0.13
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8400.925$1.10+$0.10
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.075$1.07+$0.07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9150.971$1.06+$0.06
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0280.029$1.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:27NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-18 00:14NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-14 00:44Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.77$1.00
09-10 00:38LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-07 00:50China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
09-07 00:41Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?BUY0.9409665763$1.00
09-07 00:40China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0959999194$1.00
09-06 00:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-19 00:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
08-18 00:34Will Eddie Speir be the FL-16 Republican nominee?BUY0.995$1.00
08-18 00:34Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?BUY0.992$1.00
08-16 00:38Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-15 00:09Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-12 00:19Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-07 00:46NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00