Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-16
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.47. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.46. Range 0.41 to 0.63. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	0	0
0.49	127	127
0.50	493	620
0.51	100	720
0.73	68	788
0.74	300	1,088
0.75	50	1,138
0.82	68	1,205
0.83	300	1,505
0.98	15	1,520
0.99	108	1,628

Spread0.03Mid0.46

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.45	32	32
0.44	186	218
0.43	250	468
0.27	56	524
0.26	250	774
0.03	13	788
0.02	429	1,217
0.01	1,915	3,132

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.55	32	32
0.56	186	218
0.57	250	468
0.73	56	524
0.74	250	774
0.97	13	788
0.98	429	1,217
0.99	1,915	3,132

Spread0.03Mid0.54

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	0	0
0.51	127	127
0.50	493	620
0.49	100	720
0.27	68	788
0.26	300	1,088
0.25	50	1,138
0.18	68	1,205
0.17	300	1,505
0.02	15	1,520
0.01	108	1,628

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xC91e3B7eBA5285537E4deD11B69220cCc309Ba44-1780056190010	Yes	40.82
SuSuDORIS	Yes	31.97
mypension	Yes	20
Predictionanalyst212	Yes	8
0x34b9D6badBBe08187093ce872635dc7f848fd914-1770766996929	Yes	4.94
0x8673…59a5	No	37
Haradwaith	No	32.06
0x3329cfc2b8d8ceb8d198f081bdf4262f421f43a	No	31.72
hitagiii	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:51:03	BUY	Yes	0.48	5	$2.37
23:44:19	BUY	No	0.5399999761	3	$1.81
23:41:58	BUY	No	0.53	5	$2.65
21:40:45	BUY	No	0.5499999763	2	$1.16
21:27:28	BUY	No	0.5499998481	3	$1.81
21:22:54	BUY	Yes	0.4899999944	41	$20.00
19:08:57	BUY	No	0.54	5	$2.55
19:00:48	BUY	No	0.54	37	$19.98
18:24:42	BUY	No	0.539999966	2	$1.27
17:03:39	BUY	No	0.5399998832	2	$1.11
13:45:09	BUY	Yes	0.5	20	$10.00
12:00:24	BUY	No	0.5399999396	6	$3.40
11:38:49	BUY	No	0.5399999325	3	$1.44
09:17:06	BUY	Yes	0.5	8	$4.00
09:14:25	BUY	No	0.5399999274	2	$1.19
08:28:03	BUY	No	0.5399999325	3	$1.44