PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xC91e3B7eBA5285537E4deD11B69220cCc309Ba44-1780056190010

0xc91e3b7eba5285537e4ded11b69220ccc309ba44

Realised P&L
$64.59
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$104.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1200.105$43.75$6.25
Will Warsh say "Pressure" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4500.545$24.22+$4.22
Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4900.470$19.18$0.82
Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.5200.485$17.72$1.28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00$8.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$10.00
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$20.00
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$30.00
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:23Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?BUY0.5199999934$19.00
09-15 21:22Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4899999944$20.00
09-15 21:22Will Warsh say "Pressure" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4499999944$20.00
09-15 21:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999999$50.00
09-01 14:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.42$9.76
09-01 14:07Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.07$4.67
08-03 13:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
07-14 18:29Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.42$42.00
07-01 11:10Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3279999846$8.00
06-29 21:09Will no listed leader be out before 2027?BUY0.0033399297$5.00
06-29 17:30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0437813083$10.00
06-29 17:23Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0609999944$10.00
06-22 07:19Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.629999988$10.00
06-22 07:18Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
06-22 07:18Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.2799999731$5.00