0xC91e3B7eBA5285537E4deD11B69220cCc309Ba44-1780056190010
0xc91e3b7eba5285537e4ded11b69220ccc309ba44
- Realised P&L
- $64.59
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $104.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.58at 0.467Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$53.04at 0.331Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$29.55at 0.507Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$12.75at 0.286Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
- +$9.65at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:23 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5199999934 | $19.00 |
| 09-15 21:22 | Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4899999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 21:22 | Will Warsh say "Pressure" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 21:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-01 14:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $9.76 |
| 09-01 14:07 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.67 |
| 08-03 13:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 18:29 | Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 07-01 11:10 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3279999846 | $8.00 |
| 06-29 21:09 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0033399297 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 17:30 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0437813083 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 17:23 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999944 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 07:19 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 07:18 | Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 07:18 | Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |