Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-16
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.69. up 0.23 over the period, from 0.46. Range 0.46 to 0.79. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	500	500
0.79	136	636
0.80	178	814
0.81	100	914
0.82	300	1,214
0.85	50	1,264
0.90	20	1,284
0.94	250	1,534
0.95	375	1,909
0.96	1,269	3,178
0.97	688	3,865
0.98	1,219	5,084

Spread0.17Mid0.70

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	140	140
0.60	100	240
0.50	50	290
0.35	300	590
0.12	250	840
0.09	417	1,257
0.07	7	1,263
0.06	625	1,888
0.05	825	2,713
0.04	1,519	4,232
0.03	1,750	5,982
0.02	3,756	9,738

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	140	140
0.40	100	240
0.50	50	290
0.65	300	590
0.88	250	840
0.91	417	1,257
0.93	7	1,263
0.94	625	1,888
0.95	825	2,713
0.96	1,519	4,232
0.97	1,750	5,982
0.98	3,756	9,738

Spread0.17Mid0.30

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	500	500
0.21	136	636
0.20	178	814
0.19	100	914
0.18	300	1,214
0.15	50	1,264
0.10	20	1,284
0.06	250	1,534
0.05	375	1,909
0.04	1,269	3,178
0.03	688	3,865
0.02	1,219	5,084

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
chessplayer	Yes	177.84
tradetosurvive1	Yes	104.79
pppnn	Yes	40
0xfd34…ae40	Yes	4.69
youtube-trader	Yes	3.57
0x3bce…5740	Yes	1.39
Anjun	No	111
malveyyy	No	100
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527	No	60
0x3329cfc2b8d8ceb8d198f081bdf4262f421f43a	No	31.33
LisaTaylor-584	No	25
0xcf8f…33db	No	3.57
Fihdrzgdd	No	1.38

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:25:52	BUY	No	0.2599999715	6	$1.64
19:13:45	BUY	No	0.2399999677	5	$1.19
19:08:55	BUY	No	0.2399999862	12	$2.78
18:50:06	SELL	Yes	0.7673333333	150	$115.10
18:39:06	SELL	Yes	0.79	50	$39.50
18:30:52	BUY	Yes	0.66	10	$6.60
18:30:24	BUY	Yes	0.66	50	$33.00
18:29:25	BUY	Yes	0.64	0	$0.19
18:29:16	BUY	Yes	0.64	351	$224.64
17:56:42	BUY	Yes	0.64	5	$3.00
14:08:42	BUY	No	0.4	100	$40.00
08:51:19	BUY	No	0.4	25	$10.00
06:38:36	SELL	No	0.28	1	$0.39
06:38:27	BUY	Yes	0.7199999424	1	$1.00
05:38:52	BUY	No	0.289999987	8	$2.46
13:18:36	SELL	Yes	0.72	2	$1.39
13:15:49	BUY	Yes	0.7399998965	2	$1.43
16:16:01	BUY	No	0.2799999664	4	$1.00
09:12:58	SELL	Yes	0.7	20	$14.00
06:10:04	SELL	Yes	0.73	20	$14.60
06:08:18	BUY	No	0.27	20	$5.40