0x3bcecdb30302249be399d9e3c539463e151d5740
- Realised P&L
- $9.21
- Volume
- $82.56
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $9.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.998 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.860 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.535 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.920 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.465 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.700 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.720 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · No | 0.280 | 0.245 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Trump say "Century" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.95at 0.259Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.40at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$1.68at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:58 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:43 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 06:38 | Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:28 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:17 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:17 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:14 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 04:12 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 07:09 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 23:03 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:50 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 03:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:41 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 18:27 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |