Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-09
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.07 to 0.10. 100 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	117	117
0.12	480	597
0.14	26	623
0.15	24	646
0.19	43	689
0.23	10	699
0.24	33	732
0.25	190	922
0.26	30	952
0.27	25	977
0.30	75	1,052
0.31	45	1,097

Spread0.03Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	1,505	1,505
0.06	320	1,825
0.05	547	2,372
0.04	345	2,718
0.03	190	2,907
0.02	370	3,277
0.01	280	3,557

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	1,505	1,505
0.94	320	1,825
0.95	547	2,372
0.96	345	2,718
0.97	190	2,907
0.98	370	3,277
0.99	280	3,557

Spread0.03Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	117	117
0.88	480	597
0.86	26	623
0.85	24	646
0.81	43	689
0.77	10	699
0.76	33	732
0.75	190	922
0.74	30	952
0.73	25	977
0.70	75	1,052
0.69	45	1,097

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	700
Tltbkbt	Yes	84.7
LornaPredicts	Yes	52.91
unoalef	Yes	25
neverhackme	Yes	8.46
0xa5ef…2966	No	817.08
cigarettes	No	16.71
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836	No	13.16
EQMresolution	No	12.28
AJSV	No	11.84

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:25:36	BUY	No	0.92	15	$14.24
19:25:36	BUY	No	0.92	20	$18.61
19:24:38	BUY	No	0.92	10	$9.20
12:08:12	BUY	No	0.92	17	$15.37
10:40:09	BUY	No	0.92	10	$9.20
10:39:08	BUY	Yes	0.08	12	$0.98
06:55:17	BUY	No	0.9	12	$10.66
13:25:02	BUY	Yes	0.115264	25	$2.88