PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-19
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.36 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.07 to 0.49. 96 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.15400400
0.47135535
0.4855590
0.49160750
0.7182832
0.7250882
0.7480962
0.834001,362
0.842401,602
0.93201,622
0.9551,627
0.971241,751

Spread0.06Mid0.12

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.09400400
0.0320420
0.0288508
0.0180588

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.91400400
0.9720420
0.9888508
0.9980588

Spread0.06Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.85400400
0.53135535
0.5255590
0.51160750
0.2982832
0.2850882
0.2680962
0.174001,362
0.162401,602
0.07201,622
0.0551,627
0.031241,751

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes1,972.79
KiruaTradingYes127.98
BottleHeckYes1
0xa5ef…2966No2,084.87
NotAnIdiotNo15.9
rossshannonNo1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:37:05BUYYes0.1216$1.91
06:26:20SELLNo0.91$0.90
22:37:06BUYYes0.119999997836$4.27
22:18:04BUYNo0.9540$38.00
14:12:07BUYYes0.129999998312$1.54
12:52:06BUYYes0.1299999989106$13.79
09:48:45BUYYes0.129999996935$4.57
08:39:37BUYYes0.129999992310$1.35
07:37:52BUYYes0.129999999393$12.15
06:37:04BUYYes0.129999998864$8.37
06:27:07BUYYes0.13400$52.00
05:32:06BUYYes0.12400$48.00
04:29:40BUYYes0.11400$44.00
21:08:14BUYYes0.12400$48.00