rossshannon
0x575eba6db59189211375560aef86202f3bac6e16
- Realised P&L
- $64.50
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $0.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.900 | 0.870 | $0.87 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.20at 0.450Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$42.29at 0.260Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$34.38at 0.530Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$8.76at 0.730Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-4.5) vs Jan-Lennard Struff (+4.5)
- +$0.26at 0.991Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999842 | $13.77 |
| 01-30 15:58 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.95 |
| 01-30 12:28 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.98 |
| 01-30 12:27 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.996 | $36.09 |
| 12-30 08:39 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.20 |
| 12-30 08:16 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.39 |
| 12-30 08:03 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.17 |
| 12-29 23:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999952 | $25.17 |
| 12-29 18:52 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9929999497 | $18.20 |
| 10-30 22:16 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $28.58 |
| 10-30 19:16 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.87 |
| 10-30 17:34 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.9979999801 | $31.53 |
| 09-29 13:03 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.08 |
| 09-28 22:27 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.63 |
| 09-28 21:36 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $10.49 |