PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.24. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.12 to 0.35. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.268282
0.2781163
0.5640203
0.5720223
0.7095318
0.717325
0.77100425
0.789434
0.846440
0.899449
0.917456
0.92248704

Spread0.03Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.238585
0.2260145
0.2020165
0.1021186
0.037193
0.0212205

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.778585
0.7860145
0.8020165
0.9021186
0.977193
0.9812205

Spread0.03Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.748282
0.7381163
0.4440203
0.4320223
0.3095318
0.297325
0.23100425
0.229434
0.166440
0.119449
0.097456
0.08248704

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes82.4
lolzzzlolYes20
AJSVYes5.76
0xa5ef…2966No88.19
0x57a9…8d7cNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:01:10SELLYes0.216$1.21
23:59:49BUYNo0.796$5.06
23:59:49BUYNo0.796$4.55
23:59:49BUYNo0.798$6.32
23:59:49BUYNo0.796$4.42
23:57:42BUYNo0.7912$9.48
22:15:37BUYYes0.220$4.00
02:27:54BUYNo0.775$3.85
18:30:51BUYNo0.745$4.00
22:31:27BUYNo0.7220$14.40
00:36:52BUYNo0.7516$11.98
00:36:51BUYNo0.754$3.00
00:32:45BUYNo0.7514$10.68
00:32:45BUYNo0.756$4.34