Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-11
Resolves by: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.10 to 0.14. 23 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	520	520
0.15	20	540
0.45	16	556
0.46	17	573
0.58	23	596
0.73	85	681
0.74	80	761
0.87	150	911
0.88	60	971
0.98	3,000	3,971
0.99	10	3,981

Spread0.06Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.07	20	20
0.06	20	40
0.01	415	455

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.93	20	20
0.94	20	40
0.99	415	455

Spread0.06Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	520	520
0.85	20	540
0.55	16	556
0.54	17	573
0.42	23	596
0.27	85	681
0.26	80	761
0.13	150	911
0.12	60	971
0.02	3,000	3,971
0.01	10	3,981

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	95
Numitus1994	Yes	21
youtube-trader	Yes	20
cweouidbewodjwen	Yes	20
TODD2012	No	156

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:56:45	SELL	Yes	0.08	20	$1.60
11:26:02	BUY	No	0.8778846154	156	$136.95