Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.39. up 0.28 over the period, from 0.11. Range 0.07 to 0.42. 31 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	20	20
0.74	80	100
0.98	22	122
0.99	60	182

Spread0.34Mid0.22

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	12	12
0.04	26	38
0.03	50	88
0.02	308	396
0.01	65	461

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	12	12
0.96	26	38
0.97	50	88
0.98	308	396
0.99	65	461

Spread0.34Mid0.78

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	20	20
0.26	80	100
0.02	22	122
0.01	60	182

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	57.06
tradetosurvive1	Yes	17
0xbbf6…7de7	Yes	9.14
ZhouCD	Yes	3.8
MrYanDao	No	34
mavsgseguritas	No	20
GuyFromTinder	No	13
Scoopdewhoop	No	10
G24L8	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:46:57	BUY	No	0.74	10	$7.40
23:46:57	BUY	No	0.74	10	$7.40
23:08:26	SELL	Yes	0.21	17	$3.57
23:06:50	BUY	No	0.79	17	$13.43
23:02:54	BUY	No	0.79	17	$13.43
16:33:21	BUY	No	0.76	6	$4.56
15:03:38	SELL	No	0.76	22	$16.87
14:38:30	BUY	Yes	0.23	20	$4.60
14:03:44	SELL	No	0.8	40	$32.00
12:09:24	BUY	No	0.83	20	$16.60
07:31:12	BUY	No	0.8699999891	9	$7.95
07:29:54	SELL	Yes	0.14	9	$1.28
07:22:45	BUY	No	0.81	62	$50.38
07:03:51	SELL	Yes	0.18	70	$12.60
06:50:50	BUY	Yes	0.22	20	$4.40
06:50:50	SELL	No	0.78	20	$15.60
04:22:36	BUY	Yes	0.11	70	$7.70