Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.54. up 0.21 over the period, from 0.33. Range 0.15 to 0.54. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.65	244	244
0.80	568	812
0.81	85	897
0.83	15	912
0.89	10	922
0.94	400	1,322
0.95	10	1,332
0.96	7	1,339
0.97	43	1,382
0.98	17	1,398
0.99	217	1,615

Spread0.23Mid0.54

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.42	326	326
0.38	10	336
0.37	20	356
0.35	20	376
0.34	300	676
0.10	21	697
0.02	5	702
0.01	27	729

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.58	326	326
0.62	10	336
0.63	20	356
0.65	20	376
0.66	300	676
0.90	21	697
0.98	5	702
0.99	27	729

Spread0.23Mid0.46

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.35	244	244
0.20	568	812
0.19	85	897
0.17	15	912
0.11	10	922
0.06	400	1,322
0.05	10	1,332
0.04	7	1,339
0.03	43	1,382
0.02	17	1,398
0.01	217	1,615

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
climateprofessor	Yes	158.46
0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209	Yes	43
AJSV	Yes	11.51
Pmk-exec	Yes	9.7
0xa5ef…2966	No	122.48
cigarettes	No	60
pootytherewardfarmer	No	23
flexer78	No	18.46

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:01:20	BUY	Yes	0.46	20	$9.20
01:36:24	BUY	No	0.57	20	$11.40
00:49:39	SELL	Yes	0.41	10	$3.98
00:28:35	BUY	No	0.63	10	$6.30
00:03:42	BUY	No	0.61	10	$6.26
09:52:42	BUY	No	0.8	1	$1.00
09:51:44	BUY	Yes	0.4499997975	2	$1.00
02:02:53	BUY	No	0.72	20	$14.40
01:56:44	BUY	Yes	0.33	20	$6.60
23:06:57	BUY	Yes	0.35	18	$6.46
19:20:23	BUY	Yes	0.29	20	$5.80
19:20:11	BUY	Yes	0.25	23	$5.75
15:54:39	BUY	Yes	0.22	100	$22.00