Pmk-exec
0x48346aff4e7ef574cc2dc9e8c1b6d782534d5f7a
- Realised P&L
- $-88.71
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $25.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.82at 0.171Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 22?
- +$5.40at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 22?
- +$5.10at 0.370Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 27?
- +$4.56at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 25?
- +$4.26at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 07-28 00:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.1225 | $2.45 |
| 07-26 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.074 | $1.85 |
| 07-26 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 07-25 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 25? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 25? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 25? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.74 |