0xd0d101031e6de0118e3c9d1212e4773a29de41c2
0xd0d101031e6de0118e3c9d1212e4773a29de41c2
- Realised P&L
- $-830.99
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $210.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.10at 0.500Will Trump say "Plumber" this week?
- +$2.53at 0.500Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
- +$1.60at 0.680Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?
- +$1.00at 0.510Will Trump say "Ford" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?
- +$1.00at 0.500Will Trump say "Indiana" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 12:06 | Will Trump say "Dirty" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.21 |
| 10-03 11:04 | Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.27 |
| 10-03 09:37 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.75 |
| 10-03 09:37 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 10-03 09:09 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | SELL | 0.575 | $11.50 |
| 10-03 06:59 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.26 |
| 10-03 03:24 | Will Constellation Brands say "Shareholder" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.11 |
| 10-03 03:20 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | SELL | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 10-03 03:07 | Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 10-03 02:31 | Will Trump say "Somalia" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.47 | $23.50 |
| 10-03 02:31 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | SELL | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-03 02:21 | Will Trump say "Honda" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.89 |
| 10-03 02:05 | Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.82 |
| 10-03 01:01 | Will Trump say "Dictionary" this week? | SELL | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 10-03 01:00 | Will Trump say "Too Late" this week? | SELL | 0.49 | $14.70 |