Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.41. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.51. Range 0.15 to 0.62. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.45	120	120
0.46	100	220
0.89	18	238
0.90	21	259
0.98	36	295
0.99	60	355

Spread0.07Mid0.42

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.38	100	100
0.37	120	220
0.26	50	270
0.06	36	306
0.05	25	331
0.04	50	381
0.03	100	481
0.01	560	1,041

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.62	100	100
0.63	120	220
0.74	50	270
0.94	36	306
0.95	25	331
0.96	50	381
0.97	100	481
0.99	560	1,041

Spread0.07Mid0.58

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.55	120	120
0.54	100	220
0.11	18	238
0.10	21	259
0.02	36	295
0.01	60	355

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AlwaysHere	Yes	46
tradetosurvive1	Yes	40
GuyFromTinder	Yes	12.25
AJSV	No	78.25
Flingflonger	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:17:07	SELL	Yes	0.42	20	$8.40
06:08:08	BUY	No	0.61	20	$12.20
00:08:43	BUY	No	0.6	20	$12.00
00:08:38	BUY	No	0.6099999932	32	$19.67
21:38:25	BUY	No	0.54	40	$21.60
12:43:20	SELL	Yes	0.37	24	$8.88
12:42:11	SELL	No	0.62	6	$3.72
12:41:19	BUY	No	0.63	20	$12.60
11:19:08	BUY	No	0.61	40	$24.40
11:11:08	BUY	Yes	0.35	20	$7.00
11:09:51	BUY	Yes	0.2476923077	26	$6.44
08:48:42	BUY	No	0.66	20	$13.20
08:47:48	BUY	No	0.63	50	$31.50
12:36:37	BUY	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
04:47:25	BUY	No	0.52	20	$10.40
04:43:18	SELL	No	0.72	20	$14.40
04:42:49	BUY	Yes	0.22	20	$4.40