PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

IronByte

0x9484894d67bcb61be2193791be72f09b7649a173

Realised P&L
$244.27
Volume
$271.2k
Markets traded
945
Open portfolio
$53.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded945
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.2000.195$29.20$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.1500.165$24.75+$2.25
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$0.52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 4? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00$46.77
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 26? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$10.44
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$0.36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 12? · Yes0.2850.000$0.00$21.39
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 15? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$2.37
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$8.40
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 30? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$19.50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 16? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C or higher on June 15? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 14:41Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-23 14:41Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2$12.20
09-23 14:41Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2$15.74
09-23 06:13Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.15$22.50
09-21 09:32Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.42$21.09
09-21 09:30Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.46$64.40
09-21 09:30Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.43$2.93
09-21 09:29Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.43$39.98
09-21 09:29Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.07$4.78
09-20 19:01Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.09$0.61
09-20 04:36Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.11$2.75
09-20 03:11Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.14$7.00
09-20 03:10Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.09$6.75
09-18 05:04Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.24$18.00
09-15 02:28Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.19$28.50