Ruiziness
0x306d7f1abad26801597302f3eb48e98b8f197a38
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 3,392
- Open portfolio
- $247.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,392
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$592.36at 0.026Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?
- +$564.65at 0.104Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$543.46at 0.066Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$531.00at 0.039Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$530.73at 0.029Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 23:40 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-23 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5175926818 | $10.75 |
| 09-23 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 09-23 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-23 23:35 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.33 | $19.50 |
| 09-23 23:35 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.80 |
| 09-23 23:33 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.47 | $5.34 |
| 09-23 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.1875 | $3.75 |
| 09-23 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.1983333333 | $5.95 |
| 09-23 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 09-23 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 09-23 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.54 | $15.46 |
| 09-23 21:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-23 21:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 09-23 06:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |