PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-20
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.002 to 0.499. 132 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.017106106
0.018126232
0.019100332
0.039177509
0.04020529
0.04960589
0.050100689
0.075100789
0.100100889
0.1445894
0.16010904
0.1611001,004

Spread0.005Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.012101101
0.011153254
0.010700954
0.0083661,320
0.007421,362
0.0061,0682,430
0.005102,440
0.0041232,563
0.0033432,907
0.0025,8138,720
0.00120,70629,426

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.988101101
0.989153254
0.990700954
0.9923661,320
0.993421,362
0.9941,0682,430
0.995102,440
0.9961232,563
0.9973432,907
0.9985,8138,720
0.99920,70629,426

Spread0.005Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.983106106
0.982126232
0.981100332
0.961177509
0.96020529
0.95160589
0.950100689
0.925100789
0.900100889
0.8565894
0.84010904
0.8391001,004

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ElonurmomYes5,645.08
PoiuztrewqYes4,999.5
BitgodYes4,503.95
wakuwaku3Yes3,098.73
cool.guideYes2,638.48
MilkTeaaYes2,546
Mei-jiYes2,247.67
skold0rYes1,825.47
LordYeahYes1,568.51
ComradeCatYes1,469.89
smalltimezzzYes891.16
Kaiji123Yes861.52
LuckyMANNNYes580
orifcontexYes500
AndreaPirloYes431.49
CaprioDiLeoYes349.84
EtherappYes330.6
1111Yes300
RuizinessYes300
2B9SYes214.44

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:38:53BUYYes0.016120$1.92
17:14:22SELLYes0.01515$0.22
16:04:43BUYYes0.015125$1.88
16:03:16SELLYes0.011740844179$2.11
15:35:52SELLYes0.0162100$1.62
13:55:35SELLYes0.022998948576$1.75
13:28:19SELLYes0.023300$6.90
12:54:46BUYYes0.02550$1.25
12:43:44BUYYes0.02550$1.25
12:32:32BUYYes0.0235308200$4.71
12:00:01BUYYes0.022999999976$1.75
11:50:07BUYYes0.021102$2.14
11:39:57BUYYes0.018100$1.80
11:38:15BUYYes0.017100$1.70
11:24:54BUYYes0.01680$1.28
11:10:24BUYYes0.016107$1.71
11:06:03BUYYes0.016103$1.65
10:36:53BUYYes0.011999999983$1.00
08:20:58SELLYes0.01627$0.43
08:08:49BUYYes0.016293$4.69
04:04:14BUYYes0.02560171281,172$30.00
03:28:25BUYYes0.014999999967$1.00
03:24:23BUYYes0.014138$1.94
02:54:34BUYYes0.0119256032139$1.66
02:49:41BUYYes0.01397$3.97