PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-04
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.044. down 0.091 over the period, from 0.135. Range 0.004 to 0.255. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0356868
0.03660128
0.037200328
0.039200528
0.040395923
0.0453701,293
0.0482001,493
0.0501001,593
0.0522001,793
0.0551101,903
0.058121,915
0.0602002,115

Spread0.012Mid0.029

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0239090
0.022215305
0.021115420
0.020110530
0.019100630
0.018100730
0.016100830
0.0155001,330
0.0081501,480
0.0075001,980
0.0061,1133,093
0.0052,7665,859

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9779090
0.978215305
0.979115420
0.980110530
0.981100630
0.982100730
0.984100830
0.9855001,330
0.9921501,480
0.9935001,980
0.9941,1133,093
0.9952,7665,859

Spread0.012Mid0.971

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9656868
0.96460128
0.963200328
0.961200528
0.960395923
0.9553701,293
0.9522001,493
0.9501001,593
0.9482001,793
0.9451101,903
0.942121,915
0.9402002,115

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alohaaYes30,000
lox97Yes20,649.75
Mac-GyverYes18,993.65
LinaBell🦊Yes7,533.68
Kaiji123Yes6,716.21
smalltimezzzYes6,366.41
hetaczYes6,062.03
0xaea825a7eaafa49b59b61af8f376923dc1e4ffYes6,000.38
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
blox11Yes4,908.02
RickRockRickYes3,700
PrexpectYes3,697.64
Romeo005Yes3,687.47
0xE1a36f6D9F8D14a6237134067aBE3830C87B24EA-1775598809791Yes3,333.33
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,099.1
a-tomatoYes3,000
SugarinaYes3,000
0x146fb4c5Yes3,000
0xf452408fAa1A0eEDAd591f65D8F5F5c7bbC58FF9-1764228314605Yes2,823.72
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,811

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:03:50SELLNo0.97210$9.72
03:03:29SELLYes0.03003160281,812$54.40
03:01:36BUYYes0.03646200$7.29
03:00:56BUYYes0.04424781132,034$90.00
03:00:00SELLNo0.97715$14.65
02:57:45BUYYes0.02410$0.24
02:54:41BUYYes0.02213$0.30
02:54:41SELLYes0.022199$4.38
02:53:36SELLNo0.97730$29.06
02:53:36SELLYes0.02310$0.23
02:53:14SELLYes0.023303030333$0.77
02:52:30SELLYes0.02410$0.24
02:51:26BUYNo0.977800040450$48.90
02:51:21SELLYes0.02340$0.92
02:51:09SELLNo0.96810$9.68
02:51:06SELLNo0.96812$11.62
02:50:26SELLYes0.0225552985216$4.87
02:50:26BUYNo0.9716$6.13
02:50:15SELLYes0.03111$0.34
02:50:05BUYYes0.035999967729$1.04
02:50:02BUYNo0.9659666667300$289.79
02:49:06BUYYes0.035999967729$1.04
02:49:06SELLYes0.036100$3.60
02:48:20SELLYes0.043200$8.60
02:47:56SELLYes0.04910$0.49