alohaa
0x02b4401ae7ead14477e944f79e9db07ce9ab7092
- Realised P&L
- $-13.2k
- Volume
- $21.25M
- Markets traded
- 958
- Open portfolio
- $95.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded958
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.4kat 0.017Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$29.5kat 0.017Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$29.5kat 0.017Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$29.5kat 0.017Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$29.5kat 0.017Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:05 | Will Leeds United win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $519.48 |
| 08-02 20:45 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.9989520465 | $20.8k |
| 08-02 20:42 | Ascoli Calcio 1898 vs. Lazio Rome: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $207.97 |
| 08-02 20:35 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 08-02 20:35 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.78 |
| 08-02 20:25 | Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.17 |
| 08-02 20:11 | Ascoli Calcio 1898 vs. Lazio Rome: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9921033958 | $234.89 |
| 08-02 19:10 | Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.69 |
| 08-02 16:56 | Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.7k |
| 08-02 16:55 | Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.0k |
| 08-02 16:48 | Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 08-02 16:43 | Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.89 |
| 08-02 16:24 | Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-02 16:13 | Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $533.28 |
| 08-02 16:08 | Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.57 |