PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-11
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.038. down 0.067 over the period, from 0.105. Range 0.031 to 0.105. 55 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.039818818
0.0402071,025
0.0412861,311
0.0422501,561
0.0432001,761
0.0471001,861
0.04851,866
0.0571432,009
0.067432,053
0.069252,078
0.0701002,178
0.077432,221

Spread0.001Mid0.038

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.038109109
0.03342151
0.032100251
0.031200451
0.0301,5381,989
0.0297052,694
0.0282002,894
0.025652,959
0.0211003,059
0.0195403,599
0.0189344,533
0.0177095,242

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.962109109
0.96742151
0.968100251
0.969200451
0.9701,5381,989
0.9717052,694
0.9722002,894
0.975652,959
0.9791003,059
0.9815403,599
0.9829344,533
0.9837095,242

Spread0.001Mid0.962

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.961818818
0.9602071,025
0.9592861,311
0.9582501,561
0.9572001,761
0.9531001,861
0.95251,866
0.9431432,009
0.933432,053
0.931252,078
0.9301002,178
0.923432,221

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,200.7
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,600
hetaczYes1,400
Kaiji123Yes1,209.72
antique.aagYes725.51
smalltimezzzYes668.88
0x06702E5047E6baEE18aFEAc7Fa521Fa633A109c7-1773600248891Yes627.47
runes-leoYes300
bisonheadYes271.82
0x9afc…314bYes226.42
WanderingPandaYes208.65
oboltusovaoYes200
CrypRomYes200
neverhackmeYes200
ChotujYes129.72
1111Yes120
akhk1245Yes120
YourLostMojoYes100
sange111Yes100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:49:35BUYNo0.96119514839$8.73
07:44:36BUYNo0.9616$6.00
06:08:09BUYNo0.96099997361$1.09
06:08:09BUYYes0.04161$2.50
06:05:36BUYYes0.040999962224$1.00
05:21:03BUYYes0.03920$0.79
01:51:09SELLYes0.03872$2.74
01:23:21BUYNo0.9619999997104$100.00
00:38:27BUYNo0.9625$4.81
00:18:51SELLYes0.038117$4.45
22:59:09SELLYes0.03891$3.46
22:32:03BUYYes0.040999962224$1.00
22:14:15SELLYes0.03929$1.11
22:02:24BUYYes0.039100$3.90
21:14:09SELLYes0.04628$1.29
20:43:51BUYNo0.95399999912$2.01
20:43:51BUYYes0.046999956921$1.00
18:51:24SELLYes0.046100$4.60
17:16:42BUYNo0.953999999714$13.00
17:09:38BUYNo0.95399999610$10.00
16:39:30BUYNo0.95399998071$1.09
16:39:30BUYYes0.046999956921$1.00
15:58:32SELLYes0.04671$3.27
14:43:12BUYYes0.05100$5.00
14:42:29BUYYes0.039130$5.06