Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-03
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.84. up 0.42 over the period, from 0.42. Range 0.12 to 0.84. 90 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	1,201	1,201
0.86	1,528	2,729
0.87	796	3,525
0.88	668	4,193
0.89	1,136	5,328
0.90	907	6,235
0.91	624	6,859
0.92	1,020	7,879
0.93	1,537	9,416
0.94	2,503	11,918
0.95	2,275	14,193
0.96	256	14,449

Spread0.01Mid0.84

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	735	735
0.83	694	1,428
0.82	21	1,449
0.81	65	1,514
0.61	10	1,524
0.59	45	1,569
0.58	160	1,729
0.57	534	2,263
0.56	100	2,364
0.55	334	2,698
0.54	384	3,082
0.53	334	3,416

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	735	735
0.17	694	1,428
0.18	21	1,449
0.19	65	1,514
0.39	10	1,524
0.41	45	1,569
0.42	160	1,729
0.43	534	2,263
0.44	100	2,364
0.45	334	2,698
0.46	384	3,082
0.47	334	3,416

Spread0.01Mid0.15

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	1,201	1,201
0.14	1,528	2,729
0.13	796	3,525
0.12	668	4,193
0.11	1,136	5,328
0.10	907	6,235
0.09	624	6,859
0.08	1,020	7,879
0.07	1,537	9,416
0.06	2,503	11,918
0.05	2,275	14,193
0.04	256	14,449

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x913f5F691Ce0a947CF60cD573CBdC7C66d8eC676-1774844074915	Yes	6,164.15
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	5,000
RickRockRick	Yes	4,076.52
Sugarina	Yes	3,311.39
0xaea825a7eaafa49b59b61af8f376923dc1e4ff	Yes	2,999.57
0xD0f99f553bC376E8b86246295d679dC86334d400-1775513252892	Yes	1,773.98
PredictionYogi	Yes	1,622.08
Mr-Ferrari	Yes	1,599.99
patouossa	Yes	1,352.13
HerrieDavis	Yes	1,218.81
pupupuup	Yes	1,195.59
aimsojke	Yes	1,128.9
NotCop	Yes	1,100
NBALOL	Yes	1,033.1
suntori	Yes	1,006.32
0x5c4f…3338	Yes	1,000
Kamenshyk22	Yes	999.99
Moonraven	Yes	999.97
Aviliol	Yes	969.36
sazzaa	Yes	818.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:09:57	BUY	Yes	0.85	342	$290.70
10:09:06	BUY	Yes	0.85	6	$4.86
10:02:12	SELL	No	0.15	305	$45.69
10:02:11	BUY	No	0.16	22	$3.52
10:02:11	SELL	No	0.15	305	$45.69
10:00:06	SELL	No	0.16	313	$50.04
10:00:06	SELL	No	0.16	13	$2.12
09:41:17	BUY	Yes	0.84	6	$5.00
09:40:33	BUY	Yes	0.84	6	$5.00
09:35:00	BUY	Yes	0.85	6	$5.00
09:29:54	BUY	Yes	0.849999915	1	$1.00
09:29:44	SELL	Yes	0.83	7	$5.93
09:29:18	SELL	Yes	0.83	7	$6.10
09:29:15	SELL	Yes	0.83	10	$8.30
09:22:48	BUY	No	0.17	30	$5.10
09:12:14	BUY	Yes	0.84	28	$23.52
09:10:38	BUY	Yes	0.84	7	$5.84
09:08:18	SELL	Yes	0.83	7	$5.90
09:07:27	SELL	Yes	0.84	10	$8.40
09:07:24	BUY	No	0.16	20	$3.20
09:07:24	BUY	No	0.16	40	$6.40
09:07:24	BUY	No	0.17	20	$3.40
09:07:24	BUY	No	0.16	40	$6.40
09:07:24	BUY	No	0.16	10	$1.60
09:07:24	BUY	No	0.16	30	$4.80